Is Russia Still at War with Ukraine?
Yes — an invasion is in progress.
Fighting continues across multiple fronts, with strikes, territorial pressure, and outside support making this an active war rather than a hypothetical one.
Snapshot refreshed: 3/22/2026, 11:32:58 AM
Briefing Summary
Russia → Ukraine is in an active military confrontation phase, with recent reporting describing strikes and retaliatory operations.
Russia → Ukraine is in an active military confrontation phase, with recent reporting describing strikes and retaliatory operations.
Current status is YES and the escalation temperature is 100%. Status is a discrete threshold call, while temperature reflects model-estimated pressure from cumulative signals.
- 2026-03-21 - Russia and Ukraine trade attacks, killing at least 4 ahead of U.S. talksPBS NewsHour World
- 2026-02-18 - The third round of trilateral peace talks between Ukraine and Russia, brokered by the US, concluded in Geneva.Anadolu Agency
- 2024-08-01 - Ukraine launched the Kursk Offensive, a surprise cross-border incursion into Russia's Kursk Oblast, capturing approximately 1,250 square kilometers of Russian territory.Council on Foreign Relations
Common questions
Why show a temperature for Ukraine if the answer is already YES?
Because the underlying conflict can still heat up or cool down. The status stays YES, while the temperature helps summarize how intense the recent escalation signals look.
What kind of reporting moves the Ukraine page most?
Fresh reporting on major strikes, territorial pushes, mobilization, air defense stress, civilian impact, and official military statements tends to matter most, especially when multiple independent outlets corroborate it.
What else is active right now?
A quick look at the other conflicts people usually check next.