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Cite this conflict tracker

HaveTheyInvadedYet.com tracks a selected set of interstate invasion questions using public reporting. Each conflict snapshot preserves the current YES, NO, or KINDA assessment, its separate escalation temperature, the available review clock, and links to the fuller briefing. Less doomscrolling; more inspectable context.

This is an informational, experimental, partly automated tracker. It can be delayed or wrong and is not a government source, intelligence product, scientific forecast, emergency alert, or real-time authority.

What the headline status means

NO
The tracked invasion threshold is not currently met. NO does not mean calm, safe, or conflict-free.
KINDA
Current public evidence shows limited direct or invasion-adjacent action, short of a confirmed full invasion.
YES
A confirmed invasion or continuing occupation campaign has crossed this tracker’s invasion threshold.

Temperature is a different assertion

The 0–100 heat index summarizes modeled escalation pressure from current public signals. It is not a probability and does not redefine the canonical YES/NO/KINDA status. After YES, the site shows the threshold as crossed instead of pretending a pre-invasion number is still the main point.

Read the methodology

How to cite responsibly

  • Preserve the displayed status, timestamp label, and snapshot URL.
  • Describe temperature as an experimental heat index—not a forecast or probability.
  • Check the detailed briefing and linked sources before making a consequential claim.
  • Say when you accessed the page if publication timing matters; assessments can change.

Citation and embedding are optional conveniences. There is no required backlink, reciprocal-link condition, or special ranking language.

Conflict snapshots

Open a stable snapshot to copy a citation or a responsive iframe in one click.

Standards, corrections, and contact

Use the existing contact channel for interview requests, methodology questions, or correction evidence. Do not use this site for urgent safety decisions.