Is Israel at War with Iran?
Not a full invasion — but conflict activity is underway.
Tensions between Israel and Iran remain highly active, with strikes, retaliation risks, and regional fallout keeping the situation well past routine hostility.
Snapshot refreshed: 3/22/2026, 3:35:52 PM
Briefing Summary
Direct strikes have occurred. Risk of broader sustained escalation remains high and actively monitored.
The Iran-Israel conflict escalated into direct, large-scale military exchanges in February 2026, involving U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian leadership and infrastructure, followed by Iranian missile retaliations against Israel and U.S. bases, posing risks of regional war.
Current status is KINDA and the escalation temperature is 95%. Status is a discrete threshold call, while temperature reflects model-estimated pressure from cumulative signals.
- 2026-03-22 - Drone footage shows damage in Arad after overnight Iranian missile attackAl Jazeera
- 2026-03-04 - Joint U.S.-Israeli strikes targeted central Tehran sites including Azadi Square, military complexes, and Basij headquarters.Wikipedia
- 2026-03-04 - Iran fired 10 ballistic missiles with multiple warheads at Tel Aviv, injuring 124 people and targeting Israeli military bases.Wikipedia
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